Supplementing For Human Control Factors

The Question remains!

No mater how you look at it. Becoming climate neutral is crucial to humanities survival.

What does it matter if “our footprint” as a civilization is contributing to global warming or global cooling? What does it matter if the science is absolute when determining civilizations effect, or the cyclical cycle of increased solar spot activity effect?

Some say empirical evidence,  from both written and geologic records, indicates global temperature modulates in cycles of warming and cooling, with 57 degrees Fahrenheit  as the normal mean temperature throughout a continuing 4500 year cycle. The current conjecture is, we may reach it’s recent past height set in 1100 B.C., again around 2030. There is also conjecture that the many volcano eruptions over past recorded history also played a role in rapid global temperature change.

In our time, a most significant climate control factor is human population .

Display created by Ed Stephan http://www.ac.wwu.edu/~stephan/

“A scientific report commissioned by the US government has concluded there is “clear evidence” of climate change caused by human activities. The report, from the federal Climate Change Science Program, said trends seen over the last 50 years “cannot be explained by natural processes alone”. It found that temperatures have increased in the lower atmosphere as well as at the Earth’s surface.”¹

“The human population growth of the last century has been truly phenomenal. It required only 40 years after 1950 for the population to double from 2.5 billion to 5 billion. This doubling time is less than the average human lifetime. The world population passed 6 billion just before the end of the 20th century. Present estimates are for the population to reach 8-12 billion before the end of the 21st century. During each lecture hour, more than 10,000 new people enter the world, a rate of ~3 per second!

Of the 6 billion people, about half live in poverty and at least one fifth are severely undernourished. The rest live out their lives in comparative comfort and health.

The factors affecting global human population are very simple. They are fertility, mortality, initial population, and time. The current growth rate of ~1.3% per year is smaller than the peak which occurred a few decades ago (~2.1% per year in 1965-1970), but since this rate acts on a much larger population base, the absolute number of new people per year (~90 million) is at an all time high.”²

Hypothetically, If someone were to survive climate collapse, and in retrospect using simple minded deductions, look back and note that population has always been on the increase, and eventually we would be where we are today anyway; who could fault them after every possible stone was turned as first president in the effort to stem the tide.

Nature has it’s own way of maintaining balance.

Species responsibility demands action and movement toward human climate neutrality.

We face the evident melting polar and glacier ice, rising oceans, the real threat of disappearing sovereign nations (The Maldives), disappearing rivers, great rivers no longer reaching the sea, lack of fresh water, over use of non-renewable aquifers, disappearing streams and empty wells, deforestation, dying species both plant and animal, over use of available land, food shortage, homeless starving people, sickness, and death.

“What is really interesting at the moment is what is happening to our oceans. They are the Earth’s great heat stores. Pacific ocean (BBC) In the last few years [the Pacific Ocean] has been losing its warmth and has recently started to cool down.

According to research conducted by Professor Don Easterbrook from Western Washington University last November, the oceans and global temperatures are correlated. The oceans, he says, have a cycle in which they warm and cool cyclically. The most important one is the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO).

For much of the 1980s and 1990s, it was in a positive cycle, that means warmer than average. And observations have revealed that global temperatures were warm too. But in the last few years it has been losing its warmth and has recently started to cool down.

These cycles in the past have lasted for nearly 30 years.

So could global temperatures follow? The global cooling from 1945 to 1977 coincided with one of these cold Pacific cycles. Professor Easterbrook says: “The PDO cool mode has replaced the warm mode in the Pacific Ocean, virtually assuring us of about 30 years of global cooling.”

So what does it all mean? Climate change sceptics argue that this is evidence that they have been right all along. They say there are so many other natural causes for warming and cooling, that even if man is warming the planet, it is a small part compared with nature.

But those scientists who are equally passionate about man’s influence on global warming argue that their science is solid.

The UK Met Office’s Hadley Centre, responsible for future climate predictions, says it incorporates solar variation and ocean cycles into its climate models, and that they are nothing new. In fact, the centre says they are just two of the whole host of known factors that influence global temperatures – all of which are accounted for by its models.

In addition, say Met Office scientists, temperatures have never increased in a straight line, and there will always be periods of slower warming, or even temporary cooling. What is crucial, they say, is the long-term trend in global temperatures. And that, according to the Met office data, is clearly up.

To confuse the issue even further, last month Mojib Latif, a member of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) says that we may indeed be in a period of cooling worldwide temperatures that could last another 10-20 years. Iceberg melting (BBC)

The UK Met Office says that warming is set to resume

Professor Latif is based at the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University in Germany and is one of the world’s top climate modellers. But he makes it clear that he has not become a sceptic; he believes that this cooling will be temporary, before the overwhelming force of man-made global warming reasserts itself.

So what can we expect in the next few years?

Both sides have very different forecasts. The Met Office says that warming is set to resume quickly and strongly. It predicts that from 2010 to 2015 at least half the years will be hotter than the current hottest year on record (1998).

Sceptics disagree. They insist it is unlikely that temperatures will reach the dizzy heights of 1998 until 2030 at the earliest. It is possible, they say, that because of ocean and solar cycles a period of global cooling is more likely.

One thing is for sure. It seems the debate about what is causing global warming is far from over. Indeed some would say it is hotting up.”³

A Possible Small Window of Opportunity…

“Air pollution can affect our health in many ways with both short-term and long-term effects. Different groups of individuals are affected by air pollution in different ways. Some individuals are much more sensitive to pollutants than are others. Young children and elderly people often suffer more from the effects of air pollution. People with health problems such as asthma, heart and lung disease may also suffer more when the air is polluted. The extent to which an individual is harmed by air pollution usually depends on the total exposure to the damaging chemicals, i.e., the duration of exposure and the concentration of the chemicals must be taken into account.

Examples of short-term effects include irritation to the eyes, nose and throat, and upper respiratory infections such as bronchitis and pneumonia. Other symptoms can include headaches, nausea, and allergic reactions. Short-term air pollution can aggravate the medical conditions of individuals with asthma and emphysema. In the great “Smog Disaster” in London in 1952, four thousand people died in a few days due to the high concentrations of pollution.

Long-term health effects can include chronic respiratory disease, lung cancer, heart disease, and even damage to the brain, nerves, liver, or kidneys. Continual exposure to air pollution affects the lungs of growing children and may aggravate or complicate medical conditions in the elderly. It is estimated that half a million people die prematurely every year in the United States as a result of smoking cigarettes.”⁴

Much of  the carbon culture or climate, smells of “dirty business” who’s only aim is turning scarcity into abundance at the expense of the whole. Where is the value in that? …

We have knowledge of known unused, and new developing technologies that can make “Our Energy Climate Change Footprint” a non issue.

Is it not true; the continued development, production, and distribution of  such technologies themselves would produce abundance beyond measure…

Re-write the future…

All anyone needs for growth is food for nourishment, a place of rest and good association.

Do we fade away, or live to give another day?

Climate Change…

The Anatomy Of A Silent Crisis

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lnVGzlXmgko[/youtube]

For publication I am compiling a  list of past, current, developed, and promising, free energy technologies that could serve to reduce the human climate effect.  Send your list of clean energy technologies for compiling and presentation before Copenhagen to clean@environmentaide.org

Many remember first hearing of the wonders of magnetic propulsion, when The first commercial Maglev “people-mover” became a carrier  in 1984 in Birmingham, England. Other stator driven applications could include automobiles, trucks, and boats… Howard Johnson inventor of Spintronics, a unique magnetic gate which  formed the basis of many of his successful motors, was fond of saying “conventional magnetic theory and the real magnetic theory are about as much alike as a Venetian Blind is to a blind Venetian.”

Maglev Train – complete video presentation

From The Republic of  Georgia, Russian inventor, Tariel Kapanadze and his group have come up with one of many promising devices to aide in our move to clean free energy for all. This one capable of capturing enough zero point energy or free energy from the wheelworks of nature to power 60 homes… Perhaps not very much fun to watch, but proven possible…

Kapanadze’s third-party testing 100 kW free energy device

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wV560xfYSJ0[/youtube]

This solution was found in a few minutes on the Internet. How many can you find? Combustion technologies can become a thing of the past, and the CO2 from a summer campfire a harmless pastime.

In the words of Author, Scientist, Former Astronaut, and International Speaker Dr. Brian O’Leary…  “Earlier in 2009,  the U.S. Department of Energy (DoE) solicited concept papers for funding innovative energy technology research and development.  Some of us who have followed free energy developments were cautiously optimistic about these developments, because, up until now, the DoE has been in denial about anything beyond solar and wind, and even spends a pittance on the traditional renewables compared to the untold hundreds of billions of dollars they spend on research on fossil fuel technologies (hydrocarbons) and nuclear power and nuclear weapons.

So my colleague Wade Frazier and I decided to draft a concept paper to the DoE. Our idea was really quite simple: (1) poll the American public about their attitudes toward the POSSIBILITY of a breakthrough decentralized clean energy economy and making the transition from our current polluting multi-trillion dollar energy mix as painless as possible; and (2) advising the DoE about the most promising R&D options, and safe implementation and transition strategies, free of vested interests.  Part of our philosophy in designing this task was that, by its very nature, if our future energy were to be truly “free,” then our own effort should be of minimal cost for the taxpayer.  We therefore asked for $1 (plus occasional travel, as needed) to support our proposed task.

Needless to say, the proposal was turned down, but we can only hope that some technologies will be supported by the DoE under this program.  Or is this effort just another attempt to cover up the most promising technologies?  Time will tell.”

“If we become increasingly humble about how little we know, we may be more eager to search.” ~ Sir John Templeton

“We have come to this Rock, to record here our homage for our Pilgrim fathers; our sympathy in their sufferings; our gratitude for their labors; Our admiration of their virtues; our veneration for their piety; and our attachment to those principles of civil and religious liberty, which they encountered, the dangers of the ocean, the storms of heaven, the violence of savages, disease, exile, and famine, to enjoy and establish.

And we would leave here, also, for the generations which are rising up rapidly to fill our places, some proof, that we have endeavored to transmit the great inheritance unimpaired; that in our estimate of public principles, and Private virtue; in our veneration of religion and piety; in our devotion to civil and religious liberty; in our regard to whatever advances human Knowledge, or improves human happiness, we are not altogether unworthy of our origin.” –Daniel Webster

WE CAN IF WE TRY!

YES WE CAN!

Remember

Or is it a Factor of a much bigger problem?

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We’re Investing So Much In Alternative Fuels, Sometimes We Almost Forget To Pump Oil!

By Tony Hayward

CEO, BP

Ever since we changed our name from British Petroleum to BP (Beyond Petroleum) in 2000, we’ve led the way in developing progressive, environmentally friendly alternatives to gasoline. These last few years of pouring money into biofuels and renewable energy sources have been so great that I can’t for the life of me remember why we used to drill for dirty old oil in the first place! What’s that? You mean we’re still pumping that stuff from hundreds of refineries all over the world?

Article:    Serious Leadership at Work

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• “347 A.D. Oil wells are drilled in China up to 800 feet deep using bits attached to bamboo poles.
• 1848 First modern oil well is drilled in Asia, on the Aspheron Peninsula northeast of Baku.
• 1849 Distillation of kerosene from oil by Canadian geologist Dr. Abraham Gesner. Kerosene eventually replaces whale oil as the illuminator of choice and creates a new market for crude oil.
• 1850 Oil from hand-dug pits in California at Los Angeles is distilled to produce lamp oil.
• 1854 First oil wells in Europe are drilled 30- to 50-meters deep at Bóbrka, Poland.
• 1858 First oil well in North America is drilled in Ontario, Canada.
• 1859 First oil well in United States is drilled 69 feet deep at Titusville, Pennsylvania.
• 1878 Electric light bulb invented by Thomas Edison eliminates demand for kerosene, and the oil industry enters a recession.
• 1885 Oil burners on steam engines in the California oil fields, and later on steam locomotives, create new crude oil markets.
• 1886 Gasoline-powered automobiles introduced in Europe by Karl Benz and Wilhelm Daimler creates additional markets for California oil. Prior to the automobile, gasoline was a cheap solvent produced as a by-product of kerosene distillation.”¹

As you can see the drilling for and extraction of oil, one of the products of ancient sunlight, has been with us for thousands of years. From ancient China and oil for lamps, to today’s gasoline and the automobile.

We as humans are quick to see value, react to change based on needs, and dependencies, to further our own ends.

Looking at the timeline we can see major extraction and use began around 160 years ago in 1848. Since then the demand for oil has continued to grow. “The 2007 world statistics for the period between the years 1960 and 2007 show extraction of 952,231,600,000 barrels for that 47 year period.“²

The specific weight of oil varies from place to place, generally 8 barrels equal a ton.

That means between 1960 and 2007 we removed oil with a mass of approximately 119,028,950,000 tons.

“Another carbon fuel of obvious weight and mass is coal. Current World coal consumption is about 6.2 billion tons annually.”³ “Recent fossil fuel consumption was 4.7 times the level in 1950,”⁴ and it now accounts for 77 percent of world energy use. According to the Energy Information Agency, it is believed that demand will increase by 50% by 2030.

“The calculated weight of the Earth is 5.978 sextillion metric tons, or 5,978 followed by 18 zeros. But the latest measurements show the true weight is actually 5.972 sextillion metric tons.”⁵

The constants used to calculate the weight of the Earth was off or so they say. The force of gravity, shown as the capital letter G, is a little tricky to measure. Scientists have come up with many different numbers, and each one gives us a different number for the Earth’s weight.

Scientists at the University of Washington found a more precise way to measure G. And now that they have this more exact measurement, they claim they have found the real weight of the Earth – they think. They warn that their findings may still change.

“The butterfly effect is a phrase that encapsulates the more technical notion of sensitive dependence on initial conditions in chaos theory. Small variations of the initial condition of a dynamical system may produce large variations in the long-term behaviour of the system. So this is sometimes presented as esoteric behaviour, but can be exhibited by very simple systems: for example, a ball placed at the crest of a hill might roll into any of several valleys depending on slight differences in initial position.⁶ This is real science!

So here we are on a heavy planet, that comparably, we are taking seemingly small amounts of matter away from over a very long period of time. An old sailor, and mentor, once referred to it as removing its ballast. Unlike greenhouse gases or ozone depleting contaminants that can be reduced or replaced. These changes of mass caused by our consumption, in search of a better way of life, are creating long-term irreversible effects.”

Is the Geo Political mire of our times clouding and deluding our consciousness’ to what time it really is. Are we not aware enough to realize we are on the threshold of a new revolution, a new age, The Environment Revolution, The Environment Age An age where we should be coming to terms with our environment with a single minded determination to reverse the ravages of our time? We have a moment in time, that we as humans, can work together simultaneously, to improving world economies and the health of our planet by fostering the growth, development, and use of renewable, zero footprint, and carbon capture technologies, to create a long term sustainable world were we can live in at peace while preserving the natural order of things.

If we as a peoples continue to let the pettiness around us consume us, will we ever be able to express the perspicacity necessary to mend the amendable damages we are creating, or have created, where nature and planet Earth is concerned.

Do we, as world citizens have to suffer unmentionable hardships before we harmonize our ways with our environment. Knowing it’s only a matter of time and there are no “snap fixes” to put things back in order, are we going to let things go until the gravity of the situation becomes impossible to keep balanced in the ways that mater.

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